Champions League First Knockout Round Locks

 

While there’s a windfall coming for you in May if you ride Madrid, there’s no reason you can’t be making more money while you wait!  Here’s picks for the four games this week…

PSG -155 vs Chelsea

This is going to be a dope matchup fueled by enmity and hate that’s been brewing between these clubs over the past two years.  In 2014, PSG was three minutes away from glory before Demba Ba subbed in and did this…

demba ba gif

Last year, PSG looked doomed to suffer a repeat failure when they tied 1-1 at home and then Zlatan got sent off early in the second leg.  Then came some of the craziest 40 minutes in the history of soccer…

Everyone expects PSG to win going away in this rubber match, but I can see Chelsea keeping things pretty competitive.  Ever since Mourinho got canned, they’ve been playing more and more like they give a shit.  Willian is emerging as one of the deadliest wingers in the world and Diego Costa is rounding into form.  However, their defense is in shambles right now with both Zouma and Terry out, and Zlatan’s attack should be too much for them.

PSG is rested and at home, and they’re going to win the first leg no question.  If they give up an away goal, though, their buttholes could be clenching much harder than expected during their trip back to Stamford Bridge.

Benfica +105 vs Zenit

I would be lying if I said I knew a lot about these teams; however, I would also be lying if I said I didn’t know enough to make a fun ton of money gambling on this game.  Benfica has been tearing up the Portuguese league, going on an 8 game winning streak and 13 game unbeaten streak until a loss to Porto last week.  Zenit, on the other hand, is 6th in the Russian league and hasn’t played since December 9th because Russia is cold as fuck right now.  Zenit’s best player is Hulk, who everyone in Brazil despises.  Hammer Benfica at home.

Gent PK (+105) vs Wolfsburg

Gent is the defending champs of the Belgian Jupiler League and they’re in line to repeat this year.  People don’t know what to make of them because, although they’ve been destroying most of their competition this year, it’s usually been against shitty Belgian teams.  However, they did have a quality win at Moscow against Zenit in the qualifiers.  They are at the very least moderately talented and have some Belgian and Swiss internationals who can knock home their fair share of goals.

Wolfsburg was pretty legit in the Bundesliga last year and won the domestic cup.  They don’t care much about defense, but their offense is the fucking truth.  That is, until the last couple of months where they’ve been sucking all around, especially on the road.  In addition, their striker Das Bost is out, so I’m ready to fade their asses on the road.

Real Madrid (-125) at Roma

Being a road favorite against a quality Serie A team like Roma scares me.  Italian teams are usually pretty good at slowing games down and neutralizing high powered offenses, and Roma has been on a hot streak since they got a new coach last month.  However, that hot streak has been against all the shit teams of Serie A, and as I outlined in my futures pick, I’m looking for Madrid to start rolling.

Champions League First Knockout Round Locks

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